Wednesday Edition
Maybe I'm the last to catch on, but usaelectionpolls.com is a marvelous site with an astounding array of polling info—more than anybody sane could want, but, then, I'm not sane when it comes to either elections or statistics.
(FYI, there is no partisan commentary—but there are very useful explanations of poll strengths and weaknesses and methodology.)
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Before blogging became all the rage, Tom was posting book reviews and Observations (essentially early blog posts) to this site. You can find the archives below.
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What we're talking about
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Comments
Thanks! Great site!
Posted by Judith Ellis at July 2, 2008 1:01 PM
Obama will become the first Internet President of the United States. The Chattering Clusters have already decided the issue - he best represents the 'change they believe in'. No amount of cutting and dicing the statistics will change that simple fact. The real question ahead of you folk in America is 'what type of President will Obama become?'
These statistics could tell you something about that if you cut and dice them to discern the key decisions Obama is about to make about who will be in the White House with him and what policy settings they are inclined to pursue. Obama has to decide on a running mate - who will it be and what does that decision tell you about the future (will there be positive or negative tensions between Obama and his VP? Does it matter if there is tension? What role will Clinton play in the Obama Administration - not VP that is certain - will she be brought into the tent in some way?).
If you look closely at the cross tabulations on what the electorate thinks about the 'upcoming' Obama decisions on key policy setting issues then you will get a good idea about who in the US electorate wants what from the next President. To make up your own set of cross-tabulations simply take male, female, young, old, then plot them against their economic and educational circumstances and see who wants what from the next administration. By doing this type of simple analysis you will be in a much better position to assess whether or not an Obama White House will suit you.
By doing your own analysis, in this way, you might establish 'a good feel' for just how well Obama's election as your next President is likely to impact your business/family futures......
Don't listen to the pundits - make up your own mind on whether or not Obama will suit you. If you crunch the numbers on the key issues that will impact you then you will be prepared for the 'change we can believe in' President and the new policy settings he will endeavour to bring to your neighbourhood.....
Posted by Richard Lipscombe at July 2, 2008 5:44 PM
The most accurate statement of change I believe in is is best illustrated in the lyrics of a song by the East Bay's own Tower of Power..."The more things change, the more they stay the same. It may be a different age, but we're on the same page.
The real change that is needed is in the electoral process itself. Putting the citizen back into the concept of citizen government. Breaking the influence of special interest groups...how about 100% public financing of elections, divided equally among candidates who qualify. Two parties in a country this large and diverse? Change the requirements to qualify for ballot placement to enable other parties...Green. Libretarian...to qualify for funding. This would level the playing field and eliminate the great advantage incumbents have. Extend Congressional terms to four years so they might actually do something and take positions by voting on something rather than spending the majority of the time figuring out how to keep the power they never seem to exercises.
A site without partisan spin? On the Internet? You're kidding?
Posted by Dave Wheeler at July 4, 2008 10:07 PM